February 15, 2016- Market Update

Tue, 23 Feb by Dale Russell

Market Update- Sylvan Lake sales in the first two weeks of February were slow, although activity was stronger than the sales count would suggest based on the number of pending sales.  The number of active listings is up slightly higher than last year, but not a large concern if that level stays stable.  It is interesting to note that two of the pending sales are at the high end of the price spectrum.  That suggests confidence in the local market.

Sales across central Alberta so far this year appear to be about average when compared with the last five years.  The ATB article below does provide a partial explanation.  While it does discuss Calgary and Edmonton, central Alberta certainly will be experiencing isimilar gains.  It seems that “bad” in Alberta is just normal in the rest of the country and we are still an attractive destination for people looking for opportunity.

There are other reasons why the market is still behaving relatively normally.  Energy accounts for about 25% of Alberta’s economy compared to 35% a couple of decades ago.  Some of the rest of the economy outside of energy is benefitting from low energy prices.  Some of it is benefitting from the low Canadian dollar.   And some is just behaving normally, not affected by low energy prices at all.  We don’t want to minimize the pain energy companies and their employees are experiencing, but constantly dwelling on the negative does not help them, or us.  Alberta is and always will be in the future a terrific place to live, grow and invest.

Population Growth Still Strong, Rob Roach • Director of Insight, ATB Financial

The latest population estimates from Statistics Canada show that Alberta’s two large metros grew by more than 65,000 people between July 1, 2014 and June 30, 2015. At 2.4 per cent, Calgary and Edmonton tied for second spot on the list of fastest growing Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) in the country.

Average growth across all CMAs was 1.2 per cent. Thunder Bay, Peterborough, Saguenay, Sudbury, and Saint John are the five CMAs that saw a reduction in population.

The economic slump has slowed the inflow of both international and interprovincial migrants to Edmonton and Calgary. As a result, their growth rates are down from the previous year. Growth in 2013-14 was 3.5 per cent in both.

Taking a longer view, Calgary and Edmonton have grown by 47.2 per cent and 41.7 per cent since 2001—the fastest growth rates in the country. This translates into 462,000 new Calgarians and 401,000 new Edmontonians over that last decade and a half.

In terms of overall size, Calgary and Edmonton are the fourth and fifth largest CMAs in the country, respectively, and are two of Canada’s six CMAs with populations over one million. With the economic slump continuing into 2016, growth in the two cities will likely continue to slow but still remain among the strongest in the country.

 

SL Feb

February 1, 2016- Market Update

Thu, 04 Feb by Dale Russell

Market Update- Some central Alberta real estate markets are behaving like we would expect in current economic circumstances and some have surprised us.  Past economic downturns have generated markets with slower sales and higher listing inventories.  The change in unit sales from 2014 to 2015 was -27% in Sylvan, -36% in Rocky, -25% in Ponoka, -26% in Lacombe, -17% in Red Deer and +1% in Penhold.  Those changes take us back to 2012 & 2013 sales levels.

The surprise comes in the number of active listings. Sylvan Lake, Lacombe, Ponoka, Rocky and Penhold listing counts are only slightly higher than last year at this time, while Red Deer and Blackfalds have higher than normal counts, but not high enough to be a large concern at this point.  Ultimately the relationship between Supply and Demand determines where prices will go and if the number of active listings remains stable, prices are unlikely to fluctuate much.

Is it a good time to buy or sell? That depends on your individual situation.  Every market and every price range inside those markets offer different opportunities.  Smart consumers make their buying and selling decisions based on current market information specifically tailored to their situation by their local RE/MAX real estate central alberta office – where you’ll find “local” experts.